Tag: Statistics

Hindsight: what were the odds?

Age-stratified infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 in the non-elderly population

The largest burden of COVID-19 is carried by the elderly, and persons living in nursing homes are particularly vulnerable. However, 94% of the global population is younger than 70 years and 86% is younger than 60 years. The objective of this study was to accurately estimate the infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 among non-elderly people in the absence of vaccination or prior infection… we identified 40 eligible national seroprevalence studies covering 38 countries with pre-vaccination seroprevalence data…

Angelo Maria Pezzullo, Cathrine Axfors, Despina G. Contopoulos-Ioannidis, Alexandre Apostolatos, John P.A. Ioannidis, (Jan 1, 2023)

Key numbers

AgeIFRSurvival Rate
0-190.0003%99.9997%
20-290.002%99.998%
30-390.011%99.989%
40-490.035%99.965%
50-590.123%99.877%
60-690.506%99.494%
Sourc:e: (ioannidis et al Jan 1, 2023)

The median IFR for kids is just 0.0003% so…

If your kid gets COVID, the risk is 3 in 1 million that your child will die from COVID. And that is likely an over-estimate because today all early treatment protocols are suppressed worldwide.

Steve Kirsch (referencing a previous Ioannidis study with similar findings, Oct 2022)

Covid’s Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) Has Always Been Similar to the Flu

Oct 2022: Rav Arora on a prior Ioannidis study…

Continue reading Hindsight: what were the odds?

The OpenVAERS Story – with Liz Willner and Jessica Rose

You take publicly-available, official data from the Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System (VAERS)… and present them in a user-friendly format: OpenVAERS.com… you get smeared…

… and then relocate your family for safety.

An educational conversation

Mentioned:

Josh Guetzkowon on CDC safety signals1See also Professor Norman Fenton

OpenVAERS.com | MedAlerts.org | JessicasUniverse.com

v-safe data

SPARS Pandemic Exercise

React19.org

RoundingTheEarth.substack.com | RoundingTheEarthLocals.com

Science swindle in Swindon?

No. It’s good news actually!

The ScienceTM says this UK hospital region suffered very little COVID-related or vaccine-related heart damage. (Isn’t that great?!)

Related links, previous video…

Continue reading Science swindle in Swindon?

Excess mortality increased slightly in October 2022

‘Slightly’ sounds innocent. Until you understand the context: it was already well above normal.

Excess mortality in the EU increased slightly in October 2022, after dropping in August and September. This followed a peak of +17% in July, which is the highest value to date in 2022 and unusually high for the month of July. Excess mortality in October 2022 was +10% of the average number of deaths for the same period in 2016-2019, and is +0.5% compared with September 2022.

Eurostat1Archive. Archive,

Red line is my addition. To highlight “0” (average excess deaths 2016-2019).

Eurostat

Ireland’s went up too

Eurostat

A little more context is revealing.

… those Eurostat graphs show just ‘the pandemic years’ of 2020-2022.

EuroMOMO shows 2019 and 2018 as well.

Extra context which makes some things very obvious.

EuroMOMO Bulletin, Week 50, 2022
  • pre-pandemic, excess deaths in summers returned close to ‘normal range’
  • summer 2020 (pre-vaccine) mimicked those of 2019 and 2018 despite the dreaded ‘novel virus’ supposedly ravaging the world
  • since late 2020, when the miracle injections arrived to save us, excess deaths have rarely returned to normal ranges
  • summer 2022 excess deaths approximate winter 2018/19 (WTF?!)
  • the area under the curves2People tend to focus on the peaks. But the area under the peak is key. Because the volume, the amount of space enclosed by a curve is key. is much larger than before the injections arrival

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    People tend to focus on the peaks. But the area under the peak is key. Because the volume, the amount of space enclosed by a curve is key.

Plausibility But Not Science Has Dominated Public Discussions of the Covid Pandemic

Harvey Risch is physician and a Professor Emeritus of Epidemiology at Yale School of Public Health and Yale School of Medicine. His recent critique of The ScienceTM contains so many bombshells, I struggled to pick highlights. But hopefully these snippets will entice you to click through and read the whole thing.1It gets technical at times. But you don’t need to understand all the numbers to understand his points about Randomized Controlled Trials.

… plausible theories are easy to believe, and that is the problem. That is what we have been fed for almost three years of the Covid-19 pandemic. In fact though, we have been fed plausibility instead of science for much longer…

Continue reading Plausibility But Not Science Has Dominated Public Discussions of the Covid Pandemic
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    It gets technical at times. But you don’t need to understand all the numbers to understand his points about Randomized Controlled Trials.

Canadian Patriot Podcast: Debunking COVID Lies with Dr. Jessica Rose

Matthew Ehret and I chat about COVID, data fudgery, empathy, revolutions through the ages and happy cows in cud

Jessica Rose

… Matt Ehret speaks with Dr Jessica Rose about the multi-level fraud that is the “Covid Pandemic” with deep dives into her work, her mode of thinking and her penetrating research proving the ugly realities within VAERS and other aspects of the pandemic and the “solutions” which the world was tricked into drinking in response.

Throughout the conversation, the tricky beast known as “statistics” was discussed, which, though useful as a tool, has come to increasingly find their use in the advance of tyranny. Some discussion takes place on the topic of the the electromagnetic components of molecular biology which could serve as tools of great good and great evil, as well as our thoughts on the science of mass stupidity.

CanadianPatriot.org

JessicasUniversse.com | JessicaR.substack.com | Jessica5b3.substack.com

Has Big Pharma Hijacked Evidence Based Medicine?

The double-jabbed, cardiologist and former TV pundit – whose father (also a cardiologist) died because of a COVID vaccine induced cardiac-death – has switched from countering vaccine hesitancy to warning about vaccine dangers.

Why?

  • wilfull blindness
  • public health is declining
  • overall, medical drug impact is negative
  • most research can’t be trusted
  • relative risk reduction is highlighted, absolute risk ignored1Good explanation of difference between Absolute and Relative Risk
  • ‘numbers needed to treat’ are ignored2Number of people one needs to treat to prevent one instance of an illness
  • consent is not fully informed
  • most doctors getting their info from media or pharma sources
  • papers are misreported
  • regulators are c 80% industry funded
  • serious events revealed by vaccine trials ignored
  • at least 1 in 800 are harmed
  • scientific fraud
  • raw research data not being released
  • we have been trusting the psychopath…
Watch on YouTube

What’s worse than ignorance? …

The illusion of knowledge.

Dr. Aseem Malhotra3…quoting Stephen Hawking
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    Good explanation of difference between Absolute and Relative Risk
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    Number of people one needs to treat to prevent one instance of an illness
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    …quoting Stephen Hawking

The dumbest, most dishonest argument for Covid jabs yet

A computer model claims they prevented 3 million American deaths and almost 19 million hospitalizations. Imagine what they would have done if they actually WORKED against Omicron…

… in the interests of science – as opposed to The Science – I will demolish this absurdity in three minutes or less.

Alex Berenson

He does.

el gato malo does a more detailed takedown

passing off a model as evidence is tantamount to lying…

remember this?

so, if it does backfit and your major parameter assumption is wrong, it means the whole rest of your model is garbage.

… it’s pure GIGO1Garbage In, Garbage Out and the minute you assumed “vaccines worked well” then “vaccines saved huge numbers of lives” will pop out.

but if this assumption is wrong (as it appears so clearly to have been in the israeli palestine natural experiment comparison where death rates in the two places were near indistinguishable both before and after vaccination despite wide divergence in vaxx rate) then you’ve just “proven” nothing at all apart from the fact that models express the assumptions of the modeler.

el gato malo
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    Garbage In, Garbage Out

Died Suddenly: I pulled all the adverse event reports out of VAERS with the word ‘sudden’ in them

VAERS = Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System1“… put in place in 1990. It is a voluntary reporting system that has been estimated to account for only 1% (read more about underreporting in VAERS) of vaccine injuries. OpenVAERS is built from the HHS data available for download at vaers.hhs.gov” OpenVAERS.com | AE = Adverse Events

Using a single keyword: ‘sudden’, I was able to pull out 13,752 adverse event reports and of these, 2,052 died.

80% of the individuals who submitted reports of sudden adverse events had no current illnesses at the time of their injection. 77% of individuals who died with an associated sudden onset adverse event had no current illnesses at the time of injection. In some cases, it was actually noted that the person was as healthy as a horse at the time of injection…

The timeframes between injection and adverse events look like this:

And for the subset of people of died:

…

The most reported adverse event associated with ‘sudden’ … is Arthralgia (joint pain) and for death, is Sudden death… interesting that in the top 10 in general, Sudden hearing loss comes up and Dizziness as well…

More to come…

Jessica Rose