Hindsight: what were the odds?

Age-stratified infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 in the non-elderly population

The largest burden of COVID-19 is carried by the elderly, and persons living in nursing homes are particularly vulnerable. However, 94% of the global population is younger than 70 years and 86% is younger than 60 years. The objective of this study was to accurately estimate the infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 among non-elderly people in the absence of vaccination or prior infection… we identified 40 eligible national seroprevalence studies covering 38 countries with pre-vaccination seroprevalence data…

Angelo Maria Pezzullo, Cathrine Axfors, Despina G. Contopoulos-Ioannidis, Alexandre Apostolatos, John P.A. Ioannidis, (Jan 1, 2023)

Key numbers

AgeIFRSurvival Rate
0-190.0003%99.9997%
20-290.002%99.998%
30-390.011%99.989%
40-490.035%99.965%
50-590.123%99.877%
60-690.506%99.494%
Sourc:e: (ioannidis et al Jan 1, 2023)

The median IFR for kids is just 0.0003% so…

If your kid gets COVID, the risk is 3 in 1 million that your child will die from COVID. And that is likely an over-estimate because today all early treatment protocols are suppressed worldwide.

Steve Kirsch (referencing a previous Ioannidis study with similar findings, Oct 2022)

Covid’s Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) Has Always Been Similar to the Flu

Oct 2022: Rav Arora on a prior Ioannidis study…

Continue reading Hindsight: what were the odds?

Rav Arora with Zuby

While I don’t agree with everything he says (like Zuby, I’m not into using substances to expand awareness) I found it refreshing to hear Rav Aorora having a Real Talk with Zuby.1Video version on Zuby’s Odysee channel.

“Narrative vs Truth” is a wide ranging talk touching on faith, science, psychology, censorship, travel, fascism, lockdown, psychedelics… and more.

Calm, sensible, thoughtful, humourous and with the integrity to acknowledge he got things wrong and the courage to adjust his perspective. Great to see in someone so young.

If we want a better future we would do well to support men like Rav.

And Zuby.