A computer model claims they prevented 3 million American deaths and almost 19 million hospitalizations. Imagine what they would have done if they actually WORKED against Omicron…
… in the interests of science – as opposed to The Science – I will demolish this absurdity in three minutes or less.Alex Berenson
el gato malo does a more detailed takedown
passing off a model as evidence is tantamount to lying…
so, if it does backfit and your major parameter assumption is wrong, it means the whole rest of your model is garbage.
… it’s pure GIGO1Garbage In, Garbage Out and the minute you assumed “vaccines worked well” then “vaccines saved huge numbers of lives” will pop out.
but if this assumption is wrong (as it appears so clearly to have been in the israeli palestine natural experiment comparison where death rates in the two places were near indistinguishable both before and after vaccination despite wide divergence in vaxx rate) then you’ve just “proven” nothing at all apart from the fact that models express the assumptions of the modeler.el gato malo
- 1Garbage In, Garbage Out