Apologies for the small text on the bar chart. But that’s how it exports from Eurostat.
Centre = average monthly death rate (so excess is 0%). Left/ Right = percentage below / above average.
Eurostat Interactive Tool
Use the interactive tool to select Ireland and compare it with the EU average. As you do I invite you to ponder a question: why aren’t Irish excess deaths coming down in the Summer like they’re supposed to?
‘Slightly’ sounds innocent. Until you understand the context: it was already well above normal.
Excess mortality in the EU increased slightly in October 2022, after dropping in August and September. This followed a peak of +17% in July, which is the highest value to date in 2022 and unusually high for the month of July. Excess mortality in October 2022 was +10% of the average number of deaths for the same period in 2016-2019, and is +0.5% compared with September 2022.
the area under the curves2People tend to focus on the peaks. But the area under the peak is key. Because the volume, the amount of space enclosed by a curve is key. is much larger than before the injections arrival
The information is slowly coming to the surface as serious questions are finally being asked in Parliament. But only after 12 billion doses have been administered worldwide, and excess deaths continue climbing at an alarming rate.
Official Australian stats1Archive versions of that page here and here. show 17.1% more deaths than expected in 2021-2022. Here’s their main graph – to which I’ve added southern hemisphere seasons.
Initially the ‘with and without Covid’ approach distracted from the key metric: all-cause deaths (red line).
But, once focused I began comparing the red line to the baseline range (light blue zone)… and recalled something my statistics lecturer in university said: the height of the curve is not as important as the total area under it.
So I found myself wondering:
why did deaths in this particular Australian summer so greatly exceed
the normal summer range and
also that of the previous winter?2The chart’s language and design suggests these summer deaths are Covid related. But since when did respiratory viruses do more harm in summer than winter?!
why are deaths this current winter so much higher than in the previous, less-vaccinated winter?!
why are Australian all-cause deaths trending upwards and not returning to normal seasonal ranges – just like we see in:
To provide the best experience, Oisin.Page uses technologies like cookies to store and/or access device information. Consenting to these technologies allows processing of data such as browsing behaviour or unique IDs on this site. Not consenting or withdrawing consent, might affect certain features and functions.
The technical storage or access is strictly necessary for the legitimate purpose of enabling the use of a specific service explicitly requested by the subscriber or user, or for the sole purpose of carrying out the transmission of a communication over an electronic communications network.
The technical storage or access is necessary for the legitimate purpose of storing preferences that are not requested by the subscriber or user.
The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for statistical purposes.The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for anonymous statistical purposes. Without a subpoena, voluntary compliance on the part of your Internet Service Provider, or additional records from a third party, information stored or retrieved for this purpose alone cannot usually be used to identify you.
The technical storage or access is required to create user profiles to send advertising, or to track the user on a website or across several websites for similar marketing purposes.