Statistics – Oisín Page

if covid vaccines stop covid deaths, then why do they keep bending curves the wrong way?

Yet another incisive piece from el gato malo.

… if these vaccines were anything like as efficacious as claimed, dosing them into 70%+ of populations (and 90-95% of high risk of death populations) then they would be bending the covid curves like neutrons stars bend spacetime.

the effects would not be subtle…

yet we see no such signals…

the data to do the really rigorous work is being withheld from us and so, like astronomers unable to see celestial bodies, we must infer or refute their existence by watching how things curve as they travel through space and time.

but try as we might to find it, planet “vaccines stop covid deaths” does not seem to exist…

Following, are key charts, phrases and conclusions I’ve picked out. Want more step-by-step detailing? Read the full original on el gato’s substack.

fear not the charts. el gato explains well…

Hindsight: what were the odds?

Age-stratified infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 in the non-elderly population

The largest burden of COVID-19 is carried by the elderly, and persons living in nursing homes are particularly vulnerable. However, 94% of the global population is younger than 70 years and 86% is younger than 60 years. The objective of this study was to accurately estimate the infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 among non-elderly people in the absence of vaccination or prior infection… we identified 40 eligible national seroprevalence studies covering 38 countries with pre-vaccination seroprevalence data…
Angelo Maria Pezzullo, Cathrine Axfors, Despina G. Contopoulos-Ioannidis, Alexandre Apostolatos, John P.A. Ioannidis, (Jan 1, 2023)

Key numbers

Age	IFR	Survival Rate
0-19	0.0003%	99.9997%
20-29	0.002%	99.998%
30-39	0.011%	99.989%
40-49	0.035%	99.965%
50-59	0.123%	99.877%
60-69	0.506%	99.494%

S o u r c :e: (ioannidis et al Jan 1, 2023)

The median IFR for kids is just 0.0003% so…

If your kid gets COVID, the risk is 3 in 1 million that your child will die from COVID. And that is likely an over-estimate because today all early treatment protocols are suppressed worldwide.
Steve Kirsch (referencing a previous Ioannidis study with similar findings, Oct 2022)

Covid’s Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) Has Always Been Similar to the Flu

Oct 2022: Rav Arora on a prior Ioannidis study…

The OpenVAERS Story – with Liz Willner and Jessica Rose

You take publicly-available, official data from the Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System (VAERS)… and present them in a user-friendly format: OpenVAERS.com… you get smeared…

… and then relocate your family for safety.

An educational conversation

Mentioned:

Josh Guetzkowon on CDC safety signals¹

OpenVAERS.com | MedAlerts.org | JessicasUniverse.com

v-safe data

SPARS Pandemic Exercise

React19.org

RoundingTheEarth.substack.com | RoundingThe E arthLocals.com

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See also Professor Norman Fenton

Science swindle in Swindon?

No. It’s good news actually!

The Science^TM says this UK hospital region suffered very little COVID-related or vaccine-related heart damage. (Isn’t that great?!)

Excess mortality increased slightly in October 2022

‘Slightly’ sounds innocent. Until you understand the context: it was already well above normal.

Excess mortality in the EU increased slightly in October 2022, after dropping in August and September. This followed a peak of +17% in July, which is the highest value to date in 2022 and unusually high for the month of July. Excess mortality in October 2022 was +10% of the average number of deaths for the same period in 2016-2019, and is +0.5% compared with September 2022.
Eurostat¹

Red line is my addition. To highlight “0” (average excess deaths 2016-2019).

Ireland’s went up too

A little more context is revealing.

… those Eurostat graphs show just ‘the pandemic years’ of 2020-2022.

EuroMOMO shows 2019 and 2018 as well.

Extra context which makes some things very obvious.

pre-pandemic, excess deaths in summers returned close to ‘normal range’
summer 2020 (pre-vaccine) mimicked those of 2019 and 2018 despite the dreaded ‘novel virus’ supposedly ravaging the world
since late 2020, when the miracle injections arrived to save us, excess deaths have rarely returned to normal ranges
summer 2022 excess deaths approximate winter 2018/19 (WTF?!)
the area under the curves² is much larger than before the injections arrival

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Archive. Archive,
2
People tend to focus on the peaks. But the area under the peak is key. Because the volume, the amount of space enclosed by a curve is key.

What are the implications of underestimating the proportion of unvaccinated?

Good question.

Watch on Odysee

Plausibility But Not Science Has Dominated Public Discussions of the Covid Pandemic

Harvey Risch is physician and a Professor Emeritus of Epidemiology at Yale School of Public Health and Yale School of Medicine. His recent critique of The Science^TM contains so many bombshells, I struggled to pick highlights. But hopefully these snippets will entice you to click through and read the whole thing.¹

… plausible theories are easy to believe, and that is the problem. That is what we have been fed for almost three years of the Covid-19 pandemic. In fact though, we have been fed plausibility instead of science for much longer…

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It gets technical at times. But you don’t need to understand all the numbers to understand his points about Randomized Controlled Trials.

Canadian Patriot Podcast: Debunking COVID Lies with Dr. Jessica Rose

Matthew Ehret and I chat about COVID, data fudgery, empathy, revolutions through the ages and happy cows in cud
Jessica Rose

… Matt Ehret speaks with Dr Jessica Rose about the multi-level fraud that is the “Covid Pandemic” with deep dives into her work, her mode of thinking and her penetrating research proving the ugly realities within VAERS and other aspects of the pandemic and the “solutions” which the world was tricked into drinking in response.

Throughout the conversation, the tricky beast known as “statistics” was discussed, which, though useful as a tool, has come to increasingly find their use in the advance of tyranny. Some discussion takes place on the topic of the the electromagnetic components of molecular biology which could serve as tools of great good and great evil, as well as our thoughts on the science of mass stupidity.
CanadianPatriot.org

JessicasUniversse.com | JessicaR.substack.com | Jessica5b3.substack.com

Has Big Pharma Hijacked Evidence Based Medicine?

The double-jabbed, cardiologist and former TV pundit – whose father (also a cardiologist) died because of a COVID vaccine induced cardiac-death – has switched from countering vaccine hesitancy to warning about vaccine dangers.

Why?

wilfull blindness
public health is declining
overall, medical drug impact is negative
most research can’t be trusted
relative risk reduction is highlighted, absolute risk ignored¹
‘numbers needed to treat’ are ignored²
consent is not fully informed
most doctors getting their info from media or pharma sources
papers are misreported
regulators are c 80% industry funded
serious events revealed by vaccine trials ignored
at least 1 in 800 are harmed
scientific fraud
raw research data not being released
we have been trusting the psychopath…

What’s worse than ignorance? …

The illusion of knowledge.
Dr. Aseem Malhotra³

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Good explanation of difference between Absolute and Relative Risk
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Number of people one needs to treat to prevent one instance of an illness
3
…quoting Stephen Hawking

The dumbest, most dishonest argument for Covid jabs yet

A computer model claims they prevented 3 million American deaths and almost 19 million hospitalizations. Imagine what they would have done if they actually WORKED against Omicron…

… in the interests of science – as opposed to The Science – I will demolish this absurdity in three minutes or less.
Alex Berenson

He does.

el gato malo does a more detailed takedown

passing off a model as evidence is tantamount to lying…

remember this?

so, if it does backfit and your major parameter assumption is wrong, it means the whole rest of your model is garbage.

… it’s pure GIGO¹ and the minute you assumed “vaccines worked well” then “vaccines saved huge numbers of lives” will pop out.

but if this assumption is wrong (as it appears so clearly to have been in the israeli palestine natural experiment comparison where death rates in the two places were near indistinguishable both before and after vaccination despite wide divergence in vaxx rate) then you’ve just “proven” nothing at all apart from the fact that models express the assumptions of the modeler.
el gato malo

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Garbage In, Garbage Out

Died Suddenly: I pulled all the adverse event reports out of VAERS with the word ‘sudden’ in them

VAERS = Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System¹ | AE = Adverse Events

Using a single keyword: ‘sudden’, I was able to pull out 13,752 adverse event reports and of these, 2,052 died.

80% of the individuals who submitted reports of sudden adverse events had no current illnesses at the time of their injection. 77% of individuals who died with an associated sudden onset adverse event had no current illnesses at the time of injection. In some cases, it was actually noted that the person was as healthy as a horse at the time of injection…

The timeframes between injection and adverse events look like this:

And for the subset of people of died:

…

The most reported adverse event associated with ‘sudden’ … is Arthralgia (joint pain) and for death, is Sudden death… interesting that in the top 10 in general, Sudden hearing loss comes up and Dizziness as well…

More to come…
Jessica Rose

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“… put in place in 1990. It is a voluntary reporting system that has been estimated to account for only 1% (read more about underreporting in VAERS) of vaccine injuries. OpenVAERS is built from the HHS data available for download at vaers.hhs.gov” OpenVAERS.com

COVID vaccine hesitancy is associated with significant increased risks of a traffic crash

The [‘Canaadian crash study’] authors are not mincing words: they found that UNvaccinated people are MORE likely to have car crashes. Based on this statistical finding, they urge people to vaccinate to avoid car crashes!

But…

Guess who is more likely to get into a car crash? That’s right, the person who drives to work daily, as opposed to a remote worker.

And…

The Unvaccinated Could not Take Trains or Fly in Canada

So they had to drive more.

Oh, one more thing…

Turns out that people over 65, who do NOT drive to work, are the ONLY group where vaccination leads to a slightly higher chance of car crashes for the vaccinated (without reaching statistical significance).

This outcome is the OPPOSITE of what happened to employed people:

So we can see that the conclusion that “unvaccinated people are more likely to be hurt in crashes” is explained by the fact that “essential workers” who drive to work were the ones choosing not to get vaccinated!

So… It is not the COVID vaccine that reduces the chances of having a crash. It is a fact that staying home with warm coffee and a laptop is safer than commuting to work or driving a truck. The effect does NOT exist in old people who do not work.
Igor Chudov

Professor Norman Fenton: “A Study In Stupidity“

Also: Dr. Claire Craig | Mr. Law, Health and Technology¹

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Caveat: this is little more than an ad homenim piece, but does highlight a tendency toward bias among the study group.

CDC Lied about Vaccine Myocarditis Being Mild: 20% of Sudden Deaths Caused by Myocarditis

A better summary than mine of the Heidelberg autopsy study.

Our authorities claim that “myocarditis does not cause deaths” for only one reason: they refused to autopsy vaccine victims. As soon as autopsies of a representative sample of “sudden deaths” were finally done, as in the above Heidelberg study, it turned out that 20% of sudden deaths were myocarditis-related.
Igor Chudov

He also asks:

What Caused Other 80% of Deaths?

Here’s the list of “causes of death” for most of these subjects. Thanks to Brian Mowrey for pointing it out. A lot of them deserve their own substack post!!! Look at sudden-onset pneumonia, pulmonary embolism, thrombi etc…

Igor Chudov

Autopsy-based histopathological characterization of myocarditis after anti-SARS-CoV-2-vaccination

Here, we describe the cardiac autopsy findings in five persons who have died unexpectedly within seven days following anti-SARS-CoV-2-vaccination, with vaccine-induced myocardial inflammation representing the likely or possible cause of death. Our findings establish the histological phenotype of lethal vaccination-associated myocarditis.

This a small study: 5 out of 25 people who died unexpectedly within 20 days of a COVID-19 injection. But hard to dismiss as coincidental given the mounting evidence¹ and that the authors reported:

During the last 20 years of autopsy service at Heidelberg University Hospital we did not observe comparable myocardial inflammatory infiltration. This was validated by histological re-evaluation of age- and sex-matched cohorts from three independent periods, which did not reveal a single case showing a comparable cardiac pathology….

More extracts…

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e.g this, this, this, all this

Young Hearts 28

No Amnesty

Some Irish entries from 11:00. Vaccine poster-boy dies at 4 years (11:43).

Australian birth down 67%? (12:43)

Jessica Rose thought similarly. BUT…

…. within 24-hours her own peer-review process had informed her it could be a reporting lag. She analyses that possibility here, after saying:

It doesn’t help, but thank you for answering! It’s more than some ‘Bureaus’ do.

The point is that vital ABS¹ statistics are not up-to-date a full year following data capture.

This is not ok, especially in the face of many other countries reporting excessively low birth rates.²
Jessica Rose

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Australian Bureau of Statistics
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See here, for early examples.