Actuarial and statistical problems around the Covid phenomen

Neuro-biologist JJ Couey, reviews Nick Hudson’s Oct 11th presentation to the Actuarial Society of South Africa. A plain version can be watched on Pandata.org


Transcript

Copied from the Pandata substack. Contains an Addendum responseding to some questions he was asked on the day…

Continue reading Actuarial and statistical problems around the Covid phenomen

Deaths in Ireland… upward trend slowing down?

Today, Ireland Excess DeathsIrish Quislings and RIP Counties each updated with their November numbers. Thankfully, this November seems less harsh than Nov ’22 and Nov ’21. But still way above pre-scam Novembers.

Also, more people have died in eleven months of 2023 than in the whole ‘novel virus’ year – the year we (supposedly) had no natural immunity nor injections to save us.

Good job those transfections started in Jan ’21 just as the deaths really started accelerating, eh?! It’d have been so much worse if those counter-measures hadn’t been deployed just then. Just in time.1Sarcasm

And no, this does not show lockdowns, masks and standing on circles in shops saved us in 2020. Because if they had saved us that year, why did they stop saving us from Jan ’21 on? (You might remember we were also doing those things for about the first half of 2021 – while the transfection roll-out was ramping up?).

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“Millions Of Lives Saved”

Denis Rancourt PhD, live with JJ Couey

Denis Rancourt is interviewed by JJCouey about his paper which evaluates whether the Nobel-Prize-winning COVID-19 vaccine has actually saved millions of lives.

Looks like it comes down to the assumptions made when inputting data into the model… and the credulity of those accepting the models answers as real.

If you really want to dive in, helpfully Rancourt has provided links to some resources mentioned.

GigaohmBiological.com | DenisRancourt.ca

Math signals in VAERS

“… the different lots, the amount of damage they cause, is mathematically precise… it’s very, very high tech medicine that’s going on…

Craig Paardekooper (@38:03)

Mike Yeadon has wondered if the roll-out of the Covid-19 injections was a trial-run to calibrate a weapon.

Has Craig Paardekooper found corroborating evidence? He wants other data people to check his work. The data can be found on HowBad.info

(Know anyone into data? Please share this post with them).

Background: 5% is the magic number

In August he told the Corona Investigative Committee about anticipating that the rate of side-effects from the Covid-19 injections would be kept to 5% or less – because it’s a threshold between us noticing when something is happening by chance or intention.

Continue reading Math signals in VAERS

Eurostat excess mortality updated to August, 2023

Ireland: HIGHEST in EU at 21.1%

Yet… amazingly… our Minister for Health, Stephen Donnelly has no idea.

Apologies for the small text on the bar chart. But that’s how it exports from Eurostat.

Vertical centre line = average monthly death rate (so excess is 0%).
Left / Right of that line = percentage below / above average.

Eurostat Interactive Tool

Use the interactive tool to select Ireland and compare it with the EU average. As you do I invite you to ponder a question: why aren’t Irish excess deaths coming down in the Summer like they’re supposed to?

Eurostat excess mortality updated to July, 2023

Ireland: 5th highest rate in EU

Apologies for the small text on the bar chart. But that’s how it exports from Eurostat.

Centre = average monthly death rate (so excess is 0%).
Left / Right = percentage below / above average.

Eurostat Interactive Tool

Use the interactive tool to select Ireland and compare it with the EU average. As you do I invite you to ponder a question: why aren’t Irish excess deaths coming down in the Summer like they’re supposed to?

Patrick E Walsh goes into more detail on the July figures from Eurostat.

What ambulances show us

Here are four authors presenting ambulance call out data which show (yet again) that the official COVID narrative is flawed.

1. Oisín Page – about Dublin

Dublin City Council ambulance datasets show:

  • 2020 was a quiet year, despite a ‘deadly’ virus rampaging amongst us. You may remember the media announcing death tolls for months on end that year. With that much death attributed to COVID-19 why do the Dublin ambulance statistics show less call outs during that time instead of more?
  • things seem to be worsening since Quarter 2, 2021. Particularly striking for me is the change in seasonal patterns – with Summer and Autumn Call Outs reaching Winter levels.

The graph above shows the total Call Outs, per month, for all categories of “Criticality” combined:

  • (A) Alpha = Non serious or life threatening
  • (B) Bravo = Serious not life threatening urgent
  • (C) Charlie = Serious not life threatening immediate
  • (D) Delta = Life threatening other than cardiac or respiratory arrest
  • (E) Echo = Life threatening Cardiac or respiratory arrest
  • (O) Omega = Minor illness or injury
  • Null / Not Classed

I won’t flood you here with graphs for each of those categories – especially as the changes in most are not all that remarkable.1If curious, you can explore them in my spreadsheet (.ODS, 60MB). But one category stands out:

From Autumn 2021 onward “Life-threatening Cardiac or respiratory” Call Outs are generally above normal seasonal levels… and the jump up for December 2022 is remarkable.

Oisín: the Aug-Sept 2016 jump may be due to reclassification of type D call outs which show an unusual drop at that time. That, plus other oddities in the pre-2016 datasets, suggest those older datasets are less reliable. So they were discounted.

What happens in January 2023?

The datasets I found contained 2 or 3 years in each document. If Dublin City Council keep that publishing pattern, we may have to wait until 2025 to find out what happened in 2023 and 2024.

My spreadsheet (.ODS, 60MB) | Dublin City Council ambulance datasets


2. Patrick E. Walsh – about Ireland

The ‘Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Register’ (OHCAR) reports annually to the National Ambulance Service of Ireland on cardiac incidents measured as per their annual report…

The highlights are as follows:

  • 2021 EMS Cardio Incidents are 21.2% up on 2020
  • 2021 EMS Cardio Incidents are 13.3% up on 2019
  • The rate per 100k population has increased accordingly
  • Interestingly, the median age in 2021 has fallen to 67 after 4 years at 68…
Patrick E. Walsh

Full article here.


3. Byram Bridle – about Alberta

If COVID-19 Was so Horrific and the ‘Vaccines’ Were so Effective, This Should Show Up in Emergency Medical Services Data, Shouldn’t It?

I drew red lines over the years 2019, 2020, 2021, and 2022 to indicate the mean call volume for each. I only focused on emergency calls (the black bars) since they are the ones that people are most concerned about. Once again, the call volume for emergency medical services dropped in 2020 and then increased in 2021-2022. This is further evidence that contradicts the idea that paramedics were busier than ever in 2020, but then relieved of the excessive workload once most people were coerced into getting COVID-19 shots.

Dr. Byram Bridle

Full article here. Also articles here and here.


4. Jessica Hockett – about New York

… Contrary to the impression given to the public, emergency department visits dropped by as much as 60% in this period (Figure 4); ambulance arrivals to hospitals decreased by 29% (Figure 5)…

… 5,300 additional deaths occurring at home … are corroborated by a 285% increase in patients pronounced dead at the point of ambulance dispatch pickup (Figure 7). Most of this increase was heart-related deaths– an inevitable consequence of telling people to stay away from hospitals for anything that wasn’t potentially a severe symptom of Covid.

Full article here. See also her discussion with JJ Couey and presentation to PANDA.


Patrick E Walsh: Eurostat figures

Co. Kilkenny accountant Patrick E Walsh breaks down the Eurostat monthly excess death figures for Ireland which point to a worrying trend since the roll-out of the experimental vaccines.

Aisling O’Loughlin News

More about the Eurostat tool here. There’s also a simpler version on Eurostat (click “Excess Mortality” graphic).

Well done to these people: IrelandExcessDeaths.com

“It’s like a bomb went off… then it goes away”

Thanks to the cryptic Sage Hana for bringing Jessica Hockett to my attention. Her recent chat with JJ Couey is littered with pertinent questions. Sage highlighted a few…

If the novel respiratory virus is killing people like crazy, shouldn’t it have been preceded by the ER1Emergency Room death numbers?

… Where were all the bodies?

27,000? Huh? The freezer trucks were not full, no matter what Donald2Donald Trump said. The hospitals were not full.

Why didn’t the same pathogen wipe out people in other cities at the same “smart bomb” rate. 247% increase across all ages?

Huh?

Sage Hana

Issues with embedded video? Watch on Rumble.


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Ed Dowd: ‘They Can’t Run From This Data’

… Disability claims are on the rise… “If it’s not the vaccine, what is it?” asks Ed Dowd…

Children’s Health Defense

References:

Follow Ed Dowd On Twitter

PhiTech Website

Phinance Technologies Humanity Projects

Countermeasures Injury Compensation Program (CICP)

In Surprise Reversal, NIH To Hand Over Communications Between Agency And People Injured By COVID Shots

Yuri Nunes, Ph.D.

Standard Deviation Explained And Visualized

How To Calculate Standard Deviation

Catastrophic Contagion Stimulation Scenario

HRSA — CICP

Mark Skidmore Study Retraction

COVID Data Tracker — Booster Percentages

Children’s Health Defense

COVID-19 Vaccination Uptake in Ireland Reports

They were being issued weekly until Week 07 2023 (week ending Sunday 19th February 2023). Then there was no report at all in March, and ..

As of April 2023, the frequency of HPSC reporting on COVID-19 vaccination uptake will change to monthly.

Health Protection Surveillance Centre1Archived: July 16th, March 31st

But two-and-a-half months later (mid-July), there are no subsequent reports. Despite data being available the most recent report is for Week 16 (week ending Sunday 23rd April 2023).

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