Hindsight: what were the odds?

Age-stratified infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 in the non-elderly population

The largest burden of COVID-19 is carried by the elderly, and persons living in nursing homes are particularly vulnerable. However, 94% of the global population is younger than 70 years and 86% is younger than 60 years. The objective of this study was to accurately estimate the infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 among non-elderly people in the absence of vaccination or prior infection… we identified 40 eligible national seroprevalence studies covering 38 countries with pre-vaccination seroprevalence data…

Angelo Maria Pezzullo, Cathrine Axfors, Despina G. Contopoulos-Ioannidis, Alexandre Apostolatos, John P.A. Ioannidis, (Jan 1, 2023)

Key numbers

AgeIFRSurvival Rate
Sourc:e: (ioannidis et al Jan 1, 2023)

The median IFR for kids is just 0.0003% so…

If your kid gets COVID, the risk is 3 in 1 million that your child will die from COVID. And that is likely an over-estimate because today all early treatment protocols are suppressed worldwide.

Steve Kirsch (referencing a previous Ioannidis study with similar findings, Oct 2022)

Covid’s Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) Has Always Been Similar to the Flu

Oct 2022: Rav Arora on a prior Ioannidis study…

At the onset of the pandemic, approved public health experts collectively pushed an egregiously high Covid infection fatality rate (IFR). In March 2020, the WHO claimed that 3.4% of people infected with COVID had died…

After conducting a rigorous analysis of international seroprevalence data, Ioannidis and colleagues report a median infection fatality rate (IFR) of 0.035% for those aged 0-59, who represent 86% of the global population.

In other words, the survival rate for 6.8 billion people across the world who were infected with Covid in 2021 was 99.965%. However, this statistic isn’t precise enough to assess individual risks since no one lives in the average…

The highly flawed IFR data propagated at the start of the pandemic (uncritically covered by the media) produced a cascade of global authoritarianism which has shocked those with any core ethical principles. Those who wrongly claimed one in a hundred infected people were dropping dead from Covid ought to apologise. They should also retract their odious demands to fire those who refuse to take a vaccine for a disease posing an infinitesimally low risk to them.

Unprecedented and untold harm has been perpetrated against the world using an abuse of risk calculations. Now that we have rigorous data showing how wrong public health experts were, we must not allow those who advocated for stripping society of all its established liberties to pretend they were following the science all along. They were not. They were busy hounding, denigrating and smearing those who were.

Never forget that.

Rav Arora (via Radical w/ Maajid Nawaz)

Arora links to a video of UK doctor Sam White. Dreadfully treated by media and fellow medics for daring to question things and put patients first. Stunning story. Including insights into how midazolam can be used to induce death.

Jan 2021, writing in AIER, Dr. Paul Alexander also made the ‘flu comparison and cited Ioannidis: “The Catastrophic Impact of Covid Forced Societal Lockdowns

The Catastrophic Impact of Covid Forced Societal Lockdowns