‘Never vaccinated’ vs ‘Ever vaccinated’ mortality rate illusion

Survivor bias and how to overcome it

Professor Norman Fenton explains why claims of lower mortality rates for vaccinated may be just a statistical illusion. Worth reading in full. (Don’t worry; it’s not too complicated! Here’s a taste…)

In a previous article, we described the concept of survivor bias in studies that claimed better outcomes for covid vaccinated women in pregnancy: since the greatest risk to babies occur early in pregnancy, the babies of women who are vaccinated during pregnancy must already have survived the riskiest period.

In fact, a similar survivor bias more generally affects mortality rates for the vaccinated. If you see a study claiming much higher mortality rates of the ‘never vaccinated’ versus the ‘ever vaccinated’ you need to be sure it’s not just a statistical illusion due to survivor bias. This (7 minute) video provides an animated explanation:

The video shows this particular bias is avoided by using ‘person years in each vaccination category’ rather than people in each category. So a person who first gets vaccinated 6 months into a one year study and lives until the end of the year will be counted as 6 months never vaccinated and 6 months ever vaccinated.

The example is, of course, extremely simplified. Ideally, to calculate the correct number of person years in each category we need to know, for each person in the study, the exact date of each vaccination. And we also need to take account of the varying infection rate at different time intervals. That’s because the survivor bias is further exaggerated if (as was the case in most Western nations for the covid vaccines) the initial vaccine roll-out happened during the winter – meaning that fatality rates would inevitably fall anyway as more people were vaccinated. So, irrespective of the vaccine, more deaths were occuring at a time when more people were unvaccinated. Most of those classified as vaccinated would therefore already have survived the initial death peak when first vaccinated…

Norman Fenton

Suppressing Dissent

Tommy named this episode “Suppressing Dissent” – belying the richness and wisdom of this conversation with Dr. Robert Malone and Mikki Willis.

With humour, clarity and real-life anecdotes they discuss the dangers of suspicion, gossip and rumour… deliberate use of language as a weapon to divide… standing for our principles – even alongside people we might disagree with… trusting… and why open hearts are the only way to reach the persuadable 60%.

… this was a beautiful episode.

Tommy’s Podcast

Mentioned: “Our Birthright”


Dr. Robert Malone: Substack | GETTR

Mikki Willis: PlandemicSeries.com | Rumble 

Two high school students just died of aneurysms…

… and many more young people are getting them and dying recently – well known COVID-19 mRNA vaccine injury

Dr. William Makis highlights a few cases – and writes:

An aneurysm is an abnormal swelling or bulge in the wall of a blood vessel, such as an artery. It begins as a weak spot in the blood vessel wall, which balloons out of shape over time by the force of the pumping blood…

Aneurysms can be potentially fatal if they rupture. Death can occur within minutes...

The COVID-19 vaccine spike protein, when expressed in blood vessel walls, causes inflammation which damages the wall, leading to the formation of an aneurysm.

There are many cases of ruptured aneurysm following Pfizer or Moderna COVID-19 mRNA vaccination in the US VAERS database, some of them fatal (click here)

One Japanese study looked at 3 cases of brain aneurysms that developed after Pfizer COVID-19 mRNA vaccination. All 3 were women. (click here)

Aneurysms are a very serious, and not-so-rare risk with COVID-19 mRNA vaccines that should be disclosed by doctors as part of the informed consent process.

Dr. William Makis

Young Hearts 33

Never Forget

Death of Ireland international rugby player and women’s coach Tom Tierney @ 10:10 1RIP.ie

Brain haemorrhage of Ireland scrum-half Kathryn Dane @ 13:00

Young Mayo woman Serena Carney dies in New York @ 15:30 2RIP.ie … just over two weeks after her father Sean3RIP.ie

Feature on “Crisis actors and pretenders” from 18:15 on is educational.

Marines on masks

Snoqualmie Valley Marines Testing Masks with Bear Spray

Thought experiment,

If bear spray particles (3-6 microns in size) can get through or around a mask, how does that same mask prevent you…

a) getting infected or
b) infecting others

… with virus particles that are 0.1-0.3 microns in size?

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